Quick summary
- Robert Pattinson is at 32% in the Kalshi market on who will play the next James Bond, according to Kalshi News.
- Callum Turner leads at 34%, with Jack Lowden third at 30%.
- Pattinson’s rise followed a Deadline report that he screen tested for the part.
- No actor has been officially announced, and the figures are market odds, not confirmation.
Robert Pattinson has moved to within two points of the favourite in the race to become the next James Bond, according to a Kalshi News report published on 12 November 2026. The prediction market has him at 32%, behind Callum Turner on 34% and just ahead of Jack Lowden on 30%. Nothing has been confirmed by the producers.
How Pattinson jumped into the Bond race
Kalshi News says Pattinson became a leading contender after a Deadline article revealed he had screen tested for the role. Since then, the outlet reports, his name has drawn a wave of online support. It also notes some fans worry that his place in The Batman franchise could count against him.
Several major outlets have backed his case. Kalshi quotes an Esquire opinion piece calling him the “perfect James Bond” and arguing there is little common ground between Batman and Bond. A Vogue column praised his mix of franchise work and riskier films, naming titles such as The Lighthouse and Mickey 17. The Guardian’s Sian Cain wrote that the long-running casting search “suddenly feels exciting for the first time”.
Kalshi also points to his link with director Denis Villeneuve, who worked with him on the upcoming Dune: Part Three, though it says it remains to be seen how that will affect the decision. Some online commentators, it adds, wonder whether he would suit a Bond villain better than 007 himself.
For earlier coverage on this site, see our reports on the screen test claims and on Pattinson testing for Bond as The Drama climbs.
The rest of the field
Turner’s odds peaked at 72% after an endorsement from former Bond Pierce Brosnan, Kalshi says, before Pattinson’s name arrived and overshadowed that surge. Kalshi cites an NME report that many Bond watchers believed Turner had already won the part, and a source quoted by The Sun said he was “making all the right moves”. The outlet also notes his wife, Dua Lipa, is considered a candidate to sing the Bond theme.
Lowden has led the market for long stretches and hit a high of 64% in October 2026, the report says. His wife, Saoirse Ronan, has said publicly that she would like to play a Bond villain.
Further back, Nicholas Hoult sits at 8% and Josh O’Connor at 5%. Both were named by trade outlets as having reportedly screen tested. A Variety piece dated 6 November said Harry Styles “has had discussions about the part” and that Theo James “also hasn’t been ruled out”. James trades at 3%.
How much weight to give the odds
Prediction markets move on reports, rumours and online sentiment, so the numbers show what traders currently believe, not what the producers have decided. Kalshi itself notes that precedent points to a lesser-known actor getting the job, which would count against a global star such as Pattinson. Its own article carries a disclaimer that it is for information only and is not trading advice.
What happens next
The producers have not named a new Bond, and the reports of screen tests remain just that. Any announcement would likely reshuffle the market at once. Until then, expect the odds to keep shifting with each new trade report. You can follow everything we publish on the actor through our Robert Pattinson tag page.
Frequently asked questions
What are Robert Pattinson’s odds of becoming James Bond?
Kalshi News reported them at 32% on 12 November 2026, second behind Callum Turner at 34%.
Has Robert Pattinson been cast as James Bond?
No. The producers have not announced a casting. The odds come from a prediction market, and the screen test comes from a Deadline report relayed by Kalshi News.
Who else is in the running?
Kalshi lists Jack Lowden at 30%, Nicholas Hoult at 8%, Josh O’Connor at 5% and Theo James at 3%. Variety also reported that Harry Styles has had discussions about the part.
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